Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Discussion Paper Series in Economics,
Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics

No 31/2014: Climate Variability and International Migration: an empirical analysis.

Nicola D. Coniglio () and Giovanni Pesce
Additional contact information
Nicola D. Coniglio: Dept. of Economics, Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration, Postal: NHH , Department of Economics, Helleveien 30, N-5045 Bergen, Norway
Giovanni Pesce: University of Bari "Aldo Moro", Postal: University of Bari "Aldo Moro",, Bari, Italy

Abstract: Is international migration an adaptation strategy to sudden or gradual climatic shocks? In this paper we investigate the direct and the indirect role of climatic shocks in developing countries as a determinant of out-migration flows toward rich OECD countries in the period 1990-2001. Contrarily to the bulk of existing studies we use a macro approach and explicitly consider the heterogeneity of climatic shocks (type, size, sign of shocks and seasonal effects). Our results show that the occurrence of adverse climatic events in origin countries has significative direct and indirect effects on out-migration from poor to rich countries.

Keywords: Climate shocks; international migration.

JEL-codes: F22; Q54

36 pages, October 28, 2014

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