Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Working Papers,
Örebro University, School of Business

No 2022:10: Stayin’ Alive: Export Credit Guarantees and Export Survival

Magnus Lodefalk (), Aili Tang () and Miaojie Yu ()
Additional contact information
Magnus Lodefalk: Örebro University School of Business, Postal: Örebro University, School of Business, SE - 701 82 ÖREBRO, Sweden
Aili Tang: Örebro University School of Business, Postal: Örebro University, School of Business, SE - 701 82 ÖREBRO, Sweden
Miaojie Yu: Peking University, Postal: National School of Development, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China

Abstract: We use survival analysis to analyse the impact of export credit guarantees on firms’ export duration using granular Swedish panel data at the firm-country and firm-country-product levels. The estimation results show that firms’ export survival substantially increases with guarantees, at both levels. The associations are particularly strong for smaller firms and contracts as well as in trade with riskier markets. The findings have implications for policies to promote long-run export growth.

Keywords: Survival; Exports; Export credit guarantees

JEL-codes: C14; C41; D22; F14; H81

Language: English

7 pages, August 8, 2022

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