Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Memorandum,
Oslo University, Department of Economics

No 05/2015: Natural Resources and Sovereign Expropriation

Fridrik Mar Baldursson () and Nils-Henrik von der Fehr ()
Additional contact information
Fridrik Mar Baldursson: Reykjavik University, School of Business
Nils-Henrik von der Fehr: Dept. of Economics, University of Oslo, Postal: Department of Economics, University of Oslo, P.O Box 1095 Blindern, N-0317 Oslo, Norway

Abstract: A government wants to exploit a renewable resource, yielding a timevarying flow of rent, by leasing it at a fixed rate. Leasing contracts can be expropriated before expiration, albeit at a cost. To minimise transactions costs and avoid the ‘resource curse’ the government would prefer to enter into an infinitely long contract (i.e. sell the resource), if it could commit not to expropriate. However, with finite costs of expropriation credible commitment is impossible: the government either enters into finite contracts, expropriates with positive probability or does both. The value of the resource to the government is increasing in the cost of expropriation, but decreasing in the variability of the resource rent.

Keywords: Natural resources; sovereign expropriation; optimal contract length

JEL-codes: D86; H13; Q02

41 pages, February 15, 2015

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