Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Ratio Working Papers,
The Ratio Institute

No 359: Stayin’ Alive: Export Credit Guarantees and Export Survival

Magnus Lodefalk (), Aili Tang () and Miaojie Yu ()
Additional contact information
Magnus Lodefalk: The Ratio Institute, Postal: The Ratio Institute, P.O. Box 5095, SE-102 42 Stockholm, Sweden
Aili Tang: Örebro universitet, Postal: The Ratio Institute, P.O. Box 5095, SE-102 42 Stockholm, Sweden
Miaojie Yu: The Ratio Institute, Postal: The Ratio Institute, P.O. Box 5095, SE-102 42 Stockholm, Sweden

Abstract: We use survival analysis to analyse the impact of export credit guarantees on firms’ export duration using granular Swedish panel data at the firm-country and firm-country-product levels. The estimation results show that firms’ export survival substantially increases with guarantees, at both levels. The associations are particu- larly strong for smaller firms and contracts as well as in trade with riskier markets. The findings have implications for policies to promote long run export growth.

Keywords: Survival; Exports; Export credit guarantees

JEL-codes: C14; C41; D22; F14; H81

Language: English

23 pages, August 12, 2022

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