Scandinavian Working Papers in Economics

Ratio Working Papers,
The Ratio Institute

No 371: Artificial Intelligence, Tasks, Skills and Wages: Worker-Level Evidence from Germany

Erik Engberg, Michael Koch, Magnus Lodefalk and Sarah Schroeder
Additional contact information
Erik Engberg: The Ratio Institute, Postal: The Ratio Institute, P.O. Box 5095, SE-102 42 Stockholm, Sweden
Michael Koch: -, Postal: The Ratio Institute, P.O. Box 5095, SE-102 42 Stockholm, Sweden
Magnus Lodefalk: The Ratio Institute, Postal: The Ratio Institute, P.O. Box 5095, SE-102 42 Stockholm, Sweden
Sarah Schroeder: Aarhus University, Postal: The Ratio Institute, P.O. Box 5095, SE-102 42 Stockholm, Sweden

Abstract: This paper documents novel facts on within-occupation task and skill changes over the past two decades in Germany. In a second step, it reveals a distinct relationship between occupational work content and exposure to artificial intelligence (AI) and au- tomation (robots). Workers in occupations with high AI exposure, perform different activities and face different skill requirements, compared to workers in occupations ex- posed to robots. In a third step, the study uses individual labour market biographies to investigate the impact on wages between 2010 and 2017. Results indicate a wage growth premium in occupations more exposed to AI, contrasting with a wage growth discount in occupations exposed to robots. Finally, the study further explores the dynamic in- fluence of AI exposure on individual wages over time, uncovering positive associations with wages, with nuanced variations across occupational groups.

Keywords: Artificial intelligence technologies; Task content; Skills; Wages

JEL-codes: J23; J24; J44; N34; O33

Language: English

57 pages, December 27, 2023

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